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re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits

Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36240 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.


She will not come close to beating her challenger.

She doesn't have to beat her challenger in 1st place votes. Because the top 4 candidates advance to the election, nobody will get 50% of the first place votes. The lion's share of Dem votes will place Murkowski as their second choice. I would also imagine the Alaska Republicans would select her as their second choice to avoid a Democrat having the seat. So even though she may finish third in the number of first place votes, she'll likely win the election by having a larger number of second place votes than either the Republican challenger or the Democrat.
Posted by GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
695 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

She doesn't have to beat her challenger in 1st place votes. Because the top 4 candidates advance to the election, nobody will get 50% of the first place votes.


Agreed


quote:

The lion's share of Dem votes will place Murkowski as their second choice.


Maybe. I would tend to say Libertarian.

So doing the math there, That was only 11% of the entire vote in 2016. If she got all of them, that still will not put her at 50% plus 1.

quote:

I would also imagine the Alaska Republicans would select her as their second choice to avoid a Democrat having the seat.



She's being beat by double digits.

quote:

So even though she may finish third in the number of first place votes, she'll likely win the election by having a larger number of second place votes than either the Republican challenger or the Democrat.



She has to reach 50% plus 1. No Joe Miller votes will vote Murkowski.



Posted by Wednesday
Member since Aug 2017
15466 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 3:15 pm to
I upvoted you bc you’re correct- not bc I like it. Murkowski has never been honestly elected in Alaska. She’s awful and deserves public humiliation. Which cannot happen. Because she has no shame.

Ranked choice voting violates the principle of one man one vote. It’s bullshite.

It’s a pity nobody has standing to challenge election laws.
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