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re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits

Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:05 pm to
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53536 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

The primary system has been completely overhauled to benefit Murkowski. It's a jungle primary with a ranked voting system. This was specifically adopted because Murkowski cannot win a closed primary. She is going to win again because the idiots up there approved a ballot measure allowing this ludicrous election scheme.



Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.


She will not come close to beating her challenger.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
13373 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.


People that vote for neither murkowski or challenger vote for Murkowski as their 2nd choice by a large margin. Similarly, people who voted for Democrat challenger, all have Murkowski as second choice.

ETA: republican party will have to work hard in Alaska to get third party/independent candidates to NOT have Murkowski as second choice
This post was edited on 4/5/21 at 2:12 pm
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36414 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.


She will not come close to beating her challenger.

She doesn't have to beat her challenger in 1st place votes. Because the top 4 candidates advance to the election, nobody will get 50% of the first place votes. The lion's share of Dem votes will place Murkowski as their second choice. I would also imagine the Alaska Republicans would select her as their second choice to avoid a Democrat having the seat. So even though she may finish third in the number of first place votes, she'll likely win the election by having a larger number of second place votes than either the Republican challenger or the Democrat.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15585 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.

Look at the 2010 senatorial election in Alaska as the model. That’s her plan if defeated in the primary.
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