re: Here’s what trump is doing

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You’re assuming all the voters that don’t go to the new party will automatically vote democrat.

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What? I’m saying if you take the current vote share for both parties, and split the GOP in any significant way, that Democrats will easily. Nothing about new voters or anyone moving to the Democrats.

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You are also assuming that the new party wouldn’t caucus with the Republican Party.

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Caucusing has NOTHING to do with my point. They can caucus together all they want once in office. There won’t be enough of them and the GOP to obtain a majority, ever. They’ll be competing for the same voter base in elections, and the Democrats will retain their entire base.

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Those are false premises.

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I hold neither of those assumptions, so I’m not sure what you’re talking about.