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Election Predictit thread
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:09 am
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:09 am
Anyone got any action?
I got Trump election, FLA, MI, MN, WI, AZ, OR. Woke up today to find im up $6.38 in OR? What the hell?
Gains so far FLA, AR, MN, OR.
Losses for Trump(paid 45), WI, MI. But all trending positive direction.
I got Trump election, FLA, MI, MN, WI, AZ, OR. Woke up today to find im up $6.38 in OR? What the hell?
Gains so far FLA, AR, MN, OR.
Losses for Trump(paid 45), WI, MI. But all trending positive direction.
3
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:13 am to PeteRose
Looks like North Carolina is holding red. It has been blue most of the last week, and every time it would flip red it would go right back blue shortly after.
I still think Arizona gets close to flipping by late tonight.
Florida is the best play on the board.
I still think Arizona gets close to flipping by late tonight.
Florida is the best play on the board.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:17 am to Eat Your Crow
quote:
Florida is the best play on the board.
initially I had 200 on FLA but I maxed out after reading early voting numbers. I bought at 48 avg. It's at 60. I can sell for a short profit but screw that. It's all or nothing at this point.
BTW Trump expected EV went from 233 to 248.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:18 am to PeteRose
My final map
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 8:21 am
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:18 am to Eat Your Crow
Just made an account on there. So if I buy 500 Florida for Trump at .60 and he wins it then I get $500 or does someone have to buy it from me? Seems like easy money if I only need him to pull Florida.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:20 am to BentonTiger7
quote:
So if I buy 500 Florida for Trump at .60 and he wins it then I get $500 or does someone have to buy it from me?
Your 500 shares turn into $500 when Trump wins Florida.
Lots of people buy and sell and flip on election day. It's similar to the stock market in that aspect.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:21 am to BentonTiger7
That .60 becomes 1 if you let it ride and win. Now you have to pay 10% on profits and 5% withdraw fee.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 8:47 am to PeteRose
I use to PredictIt HARD, back when Trump first ran. Actually, it was that one lady overseas that ran that first got me into trading, but it was Trump's win that got me paid... and then I went hard betting on VP Pence's tweets. For a while, I was REALLY good at it...
Me and friends had a source for VP Pence's schedules, and we could estimate his tweet output almost on the money every time. We at least knew roughly where he'd end up, and it was so much fun playing the swings. I have since stopped playing, but it's crazy to me how LIBERAL that site has become. It used to be a ton of Trump supporters and generally intelligent people, but now... how can they believe all of these shite polls that are coming out and not believe their own eyes and ears re: the rallies?
Me and friends had a source for VP Pence's schedules, and we could estimate his tweet output almost on the money every time. We at least knew roughly where he'd end up, and it was so much fun playing the swings. I have since stopped playing, but it's crazy to me how LIBERAL that site has become. It used to be a ton of Trump supporters and generally intelligent people, but now... how can they believe all of these shite polls that are coming out and not believe their own eyes and ears re: the rallies?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:37 pm to ThatsGoodBBQ
Trump went from 233 expected EV yesterday to 248 this morning to 259 right now. Uh Oh!!
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:30 pm to PeteRose
I just hit 20% total gains 
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