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re: Nate Silver: We've run our presidential forecast 38 times since yesterday morning!
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:43 pm to Seldom Seen
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:43 pm to Seldom Seen
He’s either really, really confident in a model that was dead wrong just four years ago, or he’s trying to persuade people how pure and independent their methods are while KNOWING the result will not render what they’ve been selling.
1
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:49 pm to Party At LSU
quote:
He’s either really, really confident in a model that was dead wrong just four years ago
Look, I can't stand Nate Silver but people completely misrepresent his model.
In 2016 his model gave Trump one chance in three to win.
That's really not bad odds and Trump hit his 1 in 3 chance. That shite happens all the time. People lump him in with the 99% people.
This year he is saying Trump has one chance in 10.
We shall see.
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