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re: Sensing a little bit of unease from Nate Silver today
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:03 am to ValDawgsta
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:03 am to ValDawgsta
quote:
His election day model gave Trump a 30% chance to win in 2016. He was wrong,
We have no idea if he was wrong or not, because elections are discrete events. You need iterations to prove models like this and elections don't provide that; not for a long, long time.
1
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:18 am to Flats
this place doesn't understand how the field of statistics works.
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