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re: If TRUMP wins, like I hope he does, then most polls are complete BS!

Posted on 10/18/20 at 2:43 pm to
Posted by musick
the internet
Member since Dec 2008
26125 posts
Posted on 10/18/20 at 2:43 pm to
This already happened in 2016.

2020 will reiterate it
Posted by AnyonebutSteelers
Austin, Texas
Member since Aug 2020
711 posts
Posted on 10/18/20 at 2:48 pm to
We're in danger of Appalachian State syndrome, if you can call it that. Just because Trump pulled off an upset one time, in 2016, doesn't mean that it's the norm, any more than App State beating Michigan once means that App State is favored to beat Michigan again in a rematch.

We often forget just how narrowly the last presidential election was won. Just 80,000 votes in the upper Midwest separated Trump in victory from defeat. That's less than one football stadium's capacity of people.

Could the polls be wrong again this year? Could be. But it would be extraordinarily foolish to just breezily dismiss them as "wrong". That's sticking one's head in the sand.

Michigan was favored to beat App State in both meetings; first time in 2007, second time in 2014. The second time, Michigan won handily.
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