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re: Percentage wise, how confident are you that Trump wins the election?
Posted on 10/15/20 at 8:11 am to 308
Posted on 10/15/20 at 8:11 am to 308
I think Trump has ~248 EV's pretty much locked down. See picture below. He needs 21 EV's from the 79 remaining toss-up states to get to a 269-269 tie that he would win in the House. Out of those 79 EV's, I think his odds (best to worst) are:
-AZ (11 EV's)
- WI (10)
- PA (20)
- MN (10)
- MI (16)
-NE-2 (1)
- NV (6)
- NH (4)
-AZ (11 EV's)
- WI (10)
- PA (20)
- MN (10)
- MI (16)
-NE-2 (1)
- NV (6)
- NH (4)
This post was edited on 10/15/20 at 8:13 am
2
Posted on 10/15/20 at 8:21 am to GeneralLee
Good breakdown. I think he gets at least 2 of those swing states. 3 is likely
Posted on 10/15/20 at 8:24 am to GeneralLee
Excellent analysis.
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