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re: Getting out of the market before election
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:01 pm to thatguy777
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:01 pm to thatguy777
I didn't think what you said was really that hard. It's as simple as...
Trump win: Stimulus package probably gets approved sometime in between the election and January, and the money printer may stay on for a while longer.
Biden win: Yes, there are questions about what might happen with corporate taxes and maybe with capital gains taxes, but likely could see a bigger stimulus package, just a bit later. Who knows what happens with the money printer.
The bigger issue than who wins with the election would be if it were contested (like 2000) because the market hates uncertainty, but otherwise, we likely need to focus on other risk events, like a credit market shake up, bank problems, housing market downturn, etc. We've gone so far that it'd likely take one of these things occurring to get another major shake up in the markets.
Trump win: Stimulus package probably gets approved sometime in between the election and January, and the money printer may stay on for a while longer.
Biden win: Yes, there are questions about what might happen with corporate taxes and maybe with capital gains taxes, but likely could see a bigger stimulus package, just a bit later. Who knows what happens with the money printer.
The bigger issue than who wins with the election would be if it were contested (like 2000) because the market hates uncertainty, but otherwise, we likely need to focus on other risk events, like a credit market shake up, bank problems, housing market downturn, etc. We've gone so far that it'd likely take one of these things occurring to get another major shake up in the markets.
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