re: Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?

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In either case if you miss the 2PC, then you lose IMO

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If we're doing the thing where you only have 1 possession left and you're conceding right here in either case you lose if you miss, then it literally does not matter when you go for it.

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So prolonging it prolongs the chance of tying (and possibly eventually winning) the game, which is why you should not go for it until you absolutely are forced to.

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But again...why? You just said it does not matter, so what is the benefit of prolonging if it's not adding to your win probability?


But again, this conversation is better for, say, having 5-8 minutes or so left in the game IMO.

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But isn't "the chart" (that we always hear about from announcers) based on facts and statistics? And doesn't that chart always say to not go for two until you have to?

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Does the chart say to go for 2 when down 14 and you score to go down 8? I don't know, I'd guess no, but it surely is the play statistically.