re: Analysis of Polls vs. Actual Results

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I think you have it backwards I think the Dems come out more for Biden. Hillary was that disliked

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I don't really know if there is anyway to accurately quantify it, but I disagree. HRC was absolutely disliked by a lot of people...but she did have quite a bit of people that did LIKE her because of her time as First Lady and her association with Bill. At lot of Dems/women saw her as the first, First Lady to actually get involved in real policy issues vs. just smiling in the background of her husband. Couple that with many women seeing her run as a chance to "break the glass ceiling", and she did have some degree of a strong base.

I just don't see any enthusiasm behind Biden whatsoever. He's too "establishment/corporate" for the Bernie loser/socialist wing. He's just an old white guy for the women. And frankly, I think the "salt of the earth" midwest blue collar folks who would ordinarily be the ones to really support Joe are already behind Trump at this point.