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re: Data scientist who predicted 2016 says 2020 to be a repeat

Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:40 am to
Posted by 2014Tigers
Shreveport
Member since Aug 2014
1066 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:40 am to
Add 10 electoral votes for Minnesota and he has 316 EC votes. He’s not losing any states he won and add just Minnesota. Gets 20% of the black vote and even more Hispanic support this election. Bookmark this
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
16823 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

He’s not losing any states he won and add just Minnesota.


This assumes fair voting. If a state manages count mass -mailed ballots that were not requested via absentee, theres no guarantees.

I’ll also add that states sending out request forms so all voters can request an absentee ballot may increase “voter turnout” for the left, which may have an impact on results.
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 12:06 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68529 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

. He’s not losing any states he won and add just Minnesota
He's got a great chance of losing PA, WI and MI, unfortunately. The majority of voters pay scant attention and things like COVID scares negatively impact the incumbent.
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