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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:47 pm to OmniPundit
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:47 pm to OmniPundit
So why is this model so different?
3
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:48 pm to Mystictiger
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:51 pm to Mystictiger
That's an ensemble product. They run at a lower resolution than the operational (the Euro, GFS, UKMet you see referenced) and make changes to the initial positions, conditions around it, slight changes in how the model handles convection and physics assumptions, ect.
The idea is to create a spread of possible outcomes.
The idea is to create a spread of possible outcomes.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:58 pm to Mystictiger
Problem with the ensemble is that it’s turning north and that NE side is still going to clip SWLA. Just won’t be as bad here
The only difference is that I won’t be leaving if it keeps shifting west
The only difference is that I won’t be leaving if it keeps shifting west
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 2:58 pm
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