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re: Time for a Malthusian catastrophe to fix this
Posted on 7/13/20 at 11:10 am to Zach
Posted on 7/13/20 at 11:10 am to Zach
quote:
In his day natural checks kept SubSah Africa populations under control. They were too stupid to feed themselves during periods of drought or disease so they died.
The mathematical formulation of the geometric growth model specifically accounts for an increase of births during a specific period, and the decline of infant mortality is what buttressed African population growth, just like Europe and the rest of the developed world before it. Stupidity, war, colonialism, etc, aren't sufficient explanations for African population growth in the post-war era. The only explanation that holds is the demographic transition model.
Posted on 7/13/20 at 11:33 am to crazy4lsu
quote:
the decline of infant mortality is what buttressed African population growth, just like Europe and the rest of the developed world before it.
Decline in infant mortality made Europe adjust birth rates, not Africa. It's overcompensation theory as they see excessively large families (9.2 per female in Nigeria) as insurance against the lack of a govt safety net, tribal warfare, drought and disease. If birth rates adjusted to the carrying capacity of the land then they wouldn't be relying on western aid. Europe does not rely on African aid.
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