re: Sweden with a grand total of 2 coronavirus deaths today

If we had followed their model and gotten their per capita death results we'd have about 45,000 more deaths today than we have, but that's probably an underestimate because they accomplished that with a unified/apolitical leadership response (that is, their major parties and public health community were all initially unified around their strategy), a less kaleidoscopic media environment and their population has massively more social trust than ours, meaning that we'd have carried off their plan with much less actual social distancing. It would've been a bloodbath. And back to the economic point - for very little economic gain.