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re: So Alabama opened back up yesterday...

Posted on 5/2/20 at 8:40 pm to
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 8:40 pm to
I think it's actually probably a good thing that different places and different people in those places are starting to go out at different rates. Spreads out the cases, hospitalizations, deaths, etc.

The blusterers can go back first to puff out their chests or make a political point
The eager beavers can go back next because they like to do things first
Those that want or need to get back to work will go when the can
The average folk will go at some medium point
The followers will go after the average folk
The frightened or high risk will lag
Those trying to make a different political point will hold back in going
Some may never go if they don't work for whatever reason

Each group that goes back will have a certain percentage that gets the virus, a certain percent of those that get sick, a certain percent of those that get very sick, a certain percent of those that go into the hospital and a certain percent of those that die.

(Each group will spread it to others of course, but likely mostly to those of similar mindsets and similar speed in going back).

By having it spread out, not all of this will happen in a limited time frame. I think this is all for the good.

The slower to go back might have a slight advantage in that medical knowledge of care and treatment will probably keep improving, but perhaps most of the improvement to be made has already happened or won't happen for awhile.

The faster to go back that actually need hospitalization might get an advantage in that hospital capacity seems to be well within capacity right now so the first to need it should not have to deal with that. Of course, capacity may never be threatened so that might be an issue.
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