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re: Dr. Anthony Fauci now says COVID-19 mortality rate closer to "very bad flu"
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:11 am to MikeD
Posted on 3/27/20 at 10:11 am to MikeD
quote:
This editorial was published on February 28, 2020, at NEJM.org.
All of you idiots arguing over something written a month ago! Nobody clearly read the article!
Yep. Damn few cases outside of China at that point. In that context this statement in the paper makes more sense.
quote:
If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.
I don't think anyone who seriously looks at the numbers we've seen in March believes this anymore.
1
Posted on 3/27/20 at 11:04 am to Tigris
quote:
If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.
I don't think anyone who seriously looks at the numbers we've seen in March believes this anymore.
Actually, Dr. Birx said that yesterday.
She also said that this will be able to be controlled through test and trace.
Dr. Fauci said we will have therapies that mitigate covid in a month or month and a half. But we need to keep using social distancing for a few more weeks to give us time to get there.
The UK model that came out yesterday from the world's top viral modeler said 1/2 the people in the UK already had or have it and estimated up to 20k uk deaths before herd immunity.
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 11:07 am
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