quote:
The chart was posted four days ago and for four days people have been using the same argument as you, yet the numbers for 4 days straight have held true and on the same path. How can you not acknowledge that.

Because science.

Let's say I have to flip a coin 100x.

50x in and I have flipped 50 heads in a row.

What will the next coin flip be?

In experimental design, if a set of data gives you a result you expect, it does not make the result valid. Quite the opposite. The expectation introduces a bias which shits on your experiment.

The formula is incorrect. The empirical data are valid numbers, yes. But the data are incomplete. Without knowing testing rates, population density, risk factors, eliminating deaths not attributable to the virus, correcting for deaths not being attributed to it, or correctly indexing all of the above into empirical vs normative data sets... The numbers are worthless.

<---Nerd

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Posted by DomincDecoco

of no fixed abode

Member since Oct 2018

10915 posts

Posted on 3/26/20 at 4:19 pm to X123F45

quote:
But the data are incomplete.

this is 100% correct

this is only a curiosity, not science...and certainly no policy should be based on this.

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Posted by josh336

baton rouge

Member since Jan 2007

77787 posts

Posted on 3/26/20 at 5:57 pm to X123F45

With so many unknowns as you pointed out, seems like louisiana made the smart decision by shutting things down

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Posted by lsu777

Lake Charles

Member since Jan 2004

31575 posts

Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:40 pm to X123F45

I understand that

<-----also a nerd (im an engineer, by definition I am a nerd)

But bottom line is right now we are on the same path as Italy. I personally think it levels off, but right now it shows no signs of that and we are matching perfect the last couple days.

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