re: This is the dumbest most over reactive shite ever

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This means you are more than 30-65 times as likely to die from COVID-19 if you contract it than influenza. The reason more people die from the flu is there are many more people who have contracted the flu.

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as a physician I realize that this is very serious and can rapidly spiral if we don't try to slow this down before it can not be stopped.

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Containment is the strategy, and that makes sense, even though I hate losing so much of the games I love.

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The death rate for COVID-19 is currently around 3.5% in the United States and 6.5% in Italy

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No it’s not. I’m 100% certain that it’s less than 2%, and I’m fairly certain that it’s less than 1%, And the scientific consensus is much closer to my low estimate than it is to yours. These 3.5% and 4% estimates are based on the denominator only including cases they know about. In the low testing environment that we have that is 3rd grader statistical sampling.

In South Korea, if we assume every single critical case ends in death the death rate would be 1.6%. More likely it will end up at about 1.1%. And here’s the catch: Almost half the people who have it are asymptomatic. That means they are not included in the denominator, because they don’t even have sniffles. South Korea’s actual fatality rate, once statistical adjustments are made, will be about 0.6%.