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Message
re: US Chinese Virus Tracker - 466,299 Cases, 16,686 Deaths, 26,104 Recovered (4/10/2020)
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:26 am to Dale51
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:26 am to Dale51
quote:
are there other experts who disagree
sure benotdecivedgal64,dale51 and boat all agree that the virus isnt a big deal. Isn't that enough? To be honest ive looked through medical journals to find modeling info on this and there isnt a whole lot out there as this is a new virus. It seemed clear he was even being conservative with his modeling numbers and is probably one of only a very small handful of people with the ability to model this that are being public with it.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:44 am to Srobi14
quote:
sure benotdecivedgal64,dale51 and boat all agree that the virus isnt a big deal
You're confused.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:48 am to Srobi14
quote:
ive looked through medical journals to find modeling info on this and there isnt a whole lot out there as this is a new virus
Um no!
Coronaviruses were first discovered in the 1960s.[8] The earliest ones discovered were infectious bronchitis virus in chickens and two viruses from the nasal cavities of human patients with the common cold that were subsequently named human coronavirus 229E and human coronavirus OC43.[9] Other members of this family have since been identified, including SARS-CoV in 2003, HCoV NL63 in 2004, HKU1 in 2005, MERS-CoV in 2012, and SARS-CoV-2 (formerly known as 2019-nCoV) in 2019. Most of these have involved serious respiratory tract infections.
After the Dutch Erasmus Medical Centre sequenced the virus, the virus was given a new name, Human Coronavirus–Erasmus Medical Centre (HCoV-EMC). The final name for the virus is Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). In May 2014, the only two United States cases of MERS-CoV infection were recorded, both occurring in healthcare workers who worked in Saudi Arabia and then travelled to the U.S. One was treated in Indiana and one in Florida. Both of these individuals were hospitalized temporarily and then discharged.[43]
In May 2015, an outbreak of MERS-CoV occurred in the Republic of Korea, when a man who had traveled to the Middle East, visited 4 hospitals in the Seoul area to treat his illness. This caused one of the largest outbreaks of MERS-CoV outside the Middle East.[44] As of December 2019, 2,468 cases of MERS-CoV infection had been confirmed by laboratory tests, 851 of which were fatal, a mortality rate of approximately 34.5%.[45]
Erasmus scientists have actually modified the virus to be stronger to study it in the event of bioterrorism. How lucky!
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