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re: US Chinese Virus Tracker - 466,299 Cases, 16,686 Deaths, 26,104 Recovered (4/10/2020)
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:59 am to Boatshoes
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:59 am to Boatshoes
quote:
I expect the mortality rate to go down from the (overstated) 5% we see here right now to the ~ 2%-3% rate that other countries have observed.
You're doing this again?
What is it that you do not understand between "reported cases" vs all cases?
There must be a better way to explain this to you.
In situations where testing captures the bulk of infections, CFR is ~5X lower than your numbers indicate. I don't know how to make that more clear.
In South Korea where per capita testing exceeds that of other countries 10 to 20-fold, mortality rate is found to be 0.6%. Just as I've told you it would for two weeks.
This post was edited on 3/7/20 at 7:02 am
Posted on 3/7/20 at 7:25 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
In South Korea where per capita testing exceeds that of other countries 10 to 20-fold, mortality rate is found to be 0.6%
So you're expecting this to be about 4 times as bad as normal flu?
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