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re: US Chinese Virus Tracker - 466,299 Cases, 16,686 Deaths, 26,104 Recovered (4/10/2020)
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:33 am to TenWheelsForJesus
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:33 am to TenWheelsForJesus
quote:
Don't start acting rational now. You've been pimping this as a catastrophe. I'm finally on board. Don't puss out on me. This is the beginning of the end. The world as we know it will be over in 5 months. It was a good run. It had to happen eventually. C'est la vie.
Oh, this is a catastrophe in ways not even yet imagined on this board. India has banned the export of a couple of dozen medications. Do you think China is making any in substantial numbers right now? Where do you think the overwhelming majority of our medications come from? Magic globalization faries? By the time this is over, more people may die from medication shortages than from coronavirus.
I expect the mortality rate to go down from the (overstated) 5% we see here right now to the ~ 2%-3% rate that other countries have observed. But even if only a third of the country gets it, that's 2.33 million dead. Think we're going to institute the sort of societal measures here to make the number of infected plateau like it has in China?
I guess that's the new normal now, try and weaponize a pandemic for political gain if you're a democrat and try and ignore it because it might adversely affect your 401k if you're a republican.
This post was edited on 3/7/20 at 5:37 am
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:55 am to Boatshoes
quote:
But even if only a third of the country gets it, that's 2.33 million dead. Think we're going to institute the sort of societal measures here to make the number of infected plateau like it has in China?
Only a third of the country?
For comparison h1n1 the swine flu, infected 60 million Americans. Some 40 million short of 1/3 of the country. Maybe covid 19 will be worse than swine flu, maybe not. It may have a higher death rate but I would be shocked if it infects 1/3 of the country.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:41 am to Boatshoes
You're a fricking kook. And your shite rings hollow, but keep it up, maybe you can get some ban land time.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:59 am to Boatshoes
quote:
I expect the mortality rate to go down from the (overstated) 5% we see here right now to the ~ 2%-3% rate that other countries have observed.
![](https://i.imgur.com/koIbuP7.gif)
You're doing this again?
What is it that you do not understand between "reported cases" vs all cases?
There must be a better way to explain this to you.
In situations where testing captures the bulk of infections, CFR is ~5X lower than your numbers indicate. I don't know how to make that more clear.
In South Korea where per capita testing exceeds that of other countries 10 to 20-fold, mortality rate is found to be 0.6%. Just as I've told you it would for two weeks.
This post was edited on 3/7/20 at 7:02 am
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