re: After Tuesday we will know who the nominee is

quote:

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think if Biden can win South Carolina with its 54 delegates, he can get momentum heading into Tuesday and close the gap with Sanders.

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its not winner/plurality take all like gop primaries.

as of today biden is polling at 23%.
sanders 21%
steyer 15 and change.

steyer has all his eggs in the south carolina basket.
hes likely to hit the 15% threshold in some congressional districts and win delegates.
sanders will win delegates.
three candidates, maybe a fourth will hit 15% in various areas.
no one is getting 50 delegates or even 40.
based on the current polling:
30 will be a very good haul for biden and thats only if his votes are distributed in an ideal way. sanders at 21% will win all the college towns.

21 and 23 are close enough to be within polling margin of error.

if biden is 2nd in vote total even if he squeaks delegate count over sanders, to answer your hopeful question: biden will have no momentum at all.

biden will not win 54 delegates.

now that you are more educated, how many delegates does biden need to win in south carolina to impress super tuesday voters to get on his "bandwagon"?