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Message
re: Super Bowl Betting Thread
Posted on 2/2/20 at 12:20 pm to lsuguy13
Posted on 2/2/20 at 12:20 pm to lsuguy13
quote:
3-1 great value
Years ago this would be 25-1, hard to find good + prop bets with a good chance.
Seen so many missed xp this season, would be disappointing on a personal level if we didn’t see one. Non football fans are unaware of the failure rate
0
Posted on 2/2/20 at 12:22 pm to lsuguy13
quote:
Yeah I think at 3-1 great value
Except that it's not. The NFL wide average miss rate is 5-6%. Getting paid 3/1 for something that has a 5% chance of happening is actually pretty horrible.
Doesn't mean it's not happen, but 3 to 1 is not good value at all.
And the specific kickers in this game are 45/48 and 41/42.
So 95.5% success rate.
And even further a 3/1 payout, has an implied probability of 25%. The actual probability is 4.5%. Just continuing to point out exactly how horrible these odds are.
Good value would really be 22/1, which would have an implied probability rate of 4.34%
This post was edited on 2/2/20 at 12:47 pm
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:08 pm to FulshearTiger
Is amyone else seeing crazy line move in the Demi lavato ntl anthem
Was 1:55 yesterday now over 2:00
Was 1:55 yesterday now over 2:00
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:08 pm to FulshearTiger
Except there is a 100% chance of a missed xp. Calculate that nerd
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:14 pm to Winston Cup
you are pretty widely known for making the dumbest fricking bets on the planet. Carry on. Go keep laying those -2500 odds and betting on stupid shite baw
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:52 pm to Winston Cup
yeah but heavy juice on the under.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:54 pm to FulshearTiger
It’s nice to be recognized
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:06 pm to Winston Cup
Opening Kickoff Touchback -200
Damien Williams MVP +1750
Watkins First TD +1800
Alex Rodriguez not shown during halftime show -185
Player Prop Parlay - Williams O29.5 rec yd, Mahomes O305.5 pass yd, Mahomes O2.5 TD, Jimmy O1.5 TD, Mahomes O24.5 completions. +700
Damien Williams MVP +1750
Watkins First TD +1800
Alex Rodriguez not shown during halftime show -185
Player Prop Parlay - Williams O29.5 rec yd, Mahomes O305.5 pass yd, Mahomes O2.5 TD, Jimmy O1.5 TD, Mahomes O24.5 completions. +700
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:07 pm to Carson123987
quote:
Alex Rodriguez not shown during halftime show -185
This is a good one. They will show him about the two minute warning leading into the halftime show but not during
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:41 pm to Carson123987
what book lets you do player prop parlay? not a local huh?
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:06 pm to dcrews
I got a safety in at 20 bucks per +875.
Never win. But gotta try.
Never win. But gotta try.
This post was edited on 2/2/20 at 3:08 pm
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:08 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
Is amyone else seeing crazy line move in the Demi lavato ntl anthem
Was 1:55 yesterday now over 2:00
I imagine someone saw her rehearsal.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:33 pm to PiscesTiger
quote:
Never win. But gotta try.
It won in that broncos/hawks bowl real quick... had a buddy win like 10k on that shite
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:42 pm to oleyeller
Nice. It is always a must try.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:44 pm to PiscesTiger
My site has 7 to 1 odds on safety. What a rip off.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 4:11 pm to PeteRose
5Dimes is at +850 for safety scored. I didn't pull the trigger....yet
Posted on 2/2/20 at 4:50 pm to dcrews
I went to the sports book last night and made my bets.
$50 on Mostert to win MVP
$30 for KC rushing td as first score
$30 Mahomes has rushing Td
A few other bets I can’t remember
$50 on Mostert to win MVP
$30 for KC rushing td as first score
$30 Mahomes has rushing Td
A few other bets I can’t remember
Posted on 2/2/20 at 4:59 pm to Pisco
quote:
A few other bets I can’t remember
Hell yes!
Anyone like the under? Vegas really needs that shite to hit...I generally like being on the same side.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 5:09 pm to FulshearTiger
I got the under.
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