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Started By
Message
re: 2019-2020 US Flu Season up to 20000 dead. 20 million infected
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:18 pm to Cosmo
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:18 pm to Cosmo
Look at the math on how contagious this virus is.
*R0 tells you the average number of people who will catch a disease from one contagious person.
Flu R0 is 1
This means every one person will infect one other.
Wuhan Coronavirus R0 is closer to 4
This means every one person will infect 4.
This means even if the death rate of infected persons is the same or even lower, more will die due to this virus than flu.
Unless my math is off?
*R0 tells you the average number of people who will catch a disease from one contagious person.
Flu R0 is 1
This means every one person will infect one other.
Wuhan Coronavirus R0 is closer to 4
This means every one person will infect 4.
This means even if the death rate of infected persons is the same or even lower, more will die due to this virus than flu.
Unless my math is off?
2
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:20 pm to transcend
You cant compare numbers in a third world shithole to here
Posted on 1/25/20 at 12:02 am to transcend
quote:
Look at the math on how contagious this virus is.
*R0 tells you the average number of people who will catch a disease from one contagious person.
Flu R0 is 1
This means every one person will infect one other.
Wuhan Coronavirus R0 is closer to 4
This means every one person will infect 4.
This means even if the death rate of infected persons is the same or even lower, more will die due to this virus than flu.
Unless my math is off?
R0 of SARS was between 2-5, it had a higher mortality rate than this virus so far, and it was ultimately capped at 8700 cases when the dust settled. Keep in mind China took two months to even tell the WHO about SARS.
This time around they're pretty clearly taking it serious. Should help keep the numbers down quite a bit.
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