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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 8/12/20 at 8:52 am to
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 8:52 am to
quote:

Outside of the likely, Mardi Gras-induced spike here in Louisiana, which Sunbelt states had big outbreaks before June?

Seems like it is seasonal, just has an expanded zone of how flu behaves in the tropics.

Maybe the 35th parallel rather than the 30th.

Seems there’s some sort of seasonality based on how Europe and the Northeast behaved, and how other areas are firing off “now.”


I don't know. I think these pop-ups correlate to an increase in activities by the general public. New York and the northern population centers got hit worst when it was still pretty cold. We down south are seeing our highest ever cases, hospitalizations and deaths in the midst of 95 degree weather. November is just around the corner at this point and the virus has yet to take a true "break". Mind you, flu can still happen during warmer weather, but there is typically a very discernable drop-off. I'm not seeing that here in areas where people are trying to go about business-as-usual. It seems that if you give it an inch, it immediately grabs the mile. To me, that is very much different than what we see out of similar viruses.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 8:54 am
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
24185 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:21 am to
quote:

I think these pop-ups correlate to an increase in activities by the general public


I don't think the social interaction data based on phones will agree with you there, as things were opened and opening up for two months in some places before the June outbreak began.

Something changed for it to matter all of a sudden.
quote:

New York and the northern population centers got hit worst when it was still pretty cold. We down south are seeing our highest ever cases, hospitalizations and deaths in the midst of 95 degree weather.


Which is my point. Different seasonalities.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

It seems that if you give it an inch, it immediately grabs the mile. To me, that is very much different than what we see out of similar viruses.


Show the curves for New York, Nola, Jefferson. And if we would have had the testing availability we have now for these places their initial peaks would have been huge like the ones we are seeing now.

The increases you are talking about are occurring where they didn’t have a first outbreak.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 6:28 pm
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