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re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22

Posted on 1/25/20 at 5:26 pm to
Posted by jprdbulldog20
Member since Feb 2013
18958 posts
Posted on 1/25/20 at 5:26 pm to
somehow the 538 predictions based on their player ratings still has the pels at 51% to make the playoffs. however, their elo forecast has them down to 10% which matches up similarly with espn's odds (6.3%) and basketball reference's odds (7.8%)
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17947 posts
Posted on 1/25/20 at 6:06 pm to
The ELO forecast is strictly based on teams' wins and losses and schedule. It's primitive. It does not expect Zion to help our team win.

If Giannis were to suffer a season-ending injury tomorrow, it would still project the Bucks to be the favorites to win the title. It would only adjust very slowly as the Bucks lost more and more games.
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