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Message
re: Severe Weather Moving East Today
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
But aren’t 7 day forecasts rather inaccurate and unpredictable?
3
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:46 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
But aren’t 7 day forecasts rather inaccurate and unpredictable?
A Day 7 highlighted threat is very rare, particularly in January. That indicates, to me anyway, that they have confidence in the possibility of a significant severe weather threat, otherwise they would not even highlight it yet.
An SPC met said this about the threat yesterday:
quote:
Evan Bentley
@evan_bentley
Day 7 areas are rare (Between 0-6 each year), but Day 7 areas in January are even more rare. If my search through our archives is correct, this is only the 4th Day 7 area issued in January.
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 12:49 pm
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:48 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
But aren't forecasts rather inaccurate and unpredictable?
FIFY
ETA: all depends on the forecaster. I'll pay attention to what RDS says
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 12:49 pm
Posted on 1/9/20 at 6:55 am to Paul Allen
quote:
But aren’t 7 day forecasts rather inaccurate and unpredictable?
Not strong upper level low events keyed on a general area with some other synoptic conditions, why don’t you sit this one out and let the smart people post.
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