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re: Eddie Rispone's grifting carpetbagger campaign manager is aw shucksing the loss

Posted on 11/22/19 at 10:29 pm to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36594 posts
Posted on 11/22/19 at 10:29 pm to
Ardoin beat a black and a black candidate in a statewide race has never showed well.

The lady had no money and no help.

Posted by ExtraGravy
Member since Nov 2018
794 posts
Posted on 11/22/19 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

Ardoin beat a black and a black candidate in a statewide race has never showed well.

The lady had no money and no help.


yeah she barely even had a website, right? Comparing Ardoin's result to a contested race at the top of the ticket is not a useful comparison.

The Ardoin result was however interesting for the fact it shows that someone can put a D by their name and do nothing else and get 40% of the vote- although that was itself inflated by the high pro-Edwards turnout in the cities. Still.

Flipping that around though- hypothetically, putting an R by your name, do nothing else, and in a statewide election you might get 45% of the vote against a D just based on the R by your name. Looking at it that way, it makes the millions Eddie Rispone spent on the election look like an even worse investment.
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 11/22/19 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

Ardoin beat a black and a black candidate in a statewide race has never showed well.

The lady had no money and no help.


Before the runoff, I factored in the data about black early voting and predicted that the winner would get no more than 51% of the vote and if it was higher than that, then the winner must’ve had insane GOTV game or absurdly high natural turnout. Mickey Goldmill even agreed with me on that.

And then I opined that it would come down to what Abraham voters do and how EBR, Orleans and Jefferson parish goes. Even said that in real life.

We have different opinions as to why Rispone lost. You say it’s democrat turnout, I say it cancelled each other out and came down to what I already opined as.

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