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re: CFP Playoff Updates

Posted on 11/11/19 at 2:24 pm to
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 11/11/19 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

Teams that absolutely control their own destiny

LSU, Ohio St, Clemson

Teams that most likely control their own destiny

Georgia, Minnesota, Baylor, Penn St


If Minnesota wins out, they'll be in. That's not up for debate. That'll have them with a win over Penn State and Ohio State, a Big 10 title, and an undefeated season.

ZERO chance that would be left out.

Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
23138 posts
Posted on 11/11/19 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

If Minnesota wins out, they'll be in. That's not up for debate. That'll have them with a win over Penn State and Ohio State, a Big 10 title, and an undefeated season.



And wins over Iowa/Wisky. They'd have 4 top 25 wins
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20476 posts
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:06 pm to
Here's the formula I think the committee will follow:

1st off, conference pecking order
1 SEC
2 Big 10
3 ACC* - we're including Clemson in this eval
4 Big 12
5 Pac 12

Record- undefeated team gets in, and seeded in order of conference.
Meaning, Alabama was going to be the #1 seed if they won out. Georgia was, if they did. LSU will be, if they do.
Ohio State will be the #2 if they win out, and LSU does too. Minnesota, I think, might inherit that, although it was intended for Penn State to take over if need be.
Clemson will be in, and ranked #3 if LSU and Ohio State remain undefeated.

Oklahoma would have been 4, I think Baylor would be 4 if they can run out.

If SEC, Big 10, Clemson and Oklahoma were to run out, Pac 12 would be left in the cold no matter what.

Now, 1 loss; that changes a lot.
SEC
Big 10
Pac 12
Big 12
ACC

SEC is a war zone, a 1 loss team isn't a shocker. Bama is pinning their hopes on that.
Big 10 is turning out like the SEC, but at a slightly lower level of competition. Teams like Penn State, Michigan and Wisconsin are dangerous for anyone.

Pac 12 jumps to 3rd here, because it's increasingly looking like they will get 2 11-1 teams in their championship. That's a solid matchup, no matter how you view the overall conference.

Big 12 takes a hit, because the championship is going to be a rematch game no matter what, and can only dilute conference strength. They need to add more (and legit) teams to balance that conference.

ACC- that conference sucks, with Clemson as the gorilla. If somebody can take Clemson down, they're going behind any other 1 loss team.

Modifiers- teams could, and should, get bumps for winning conference and division. Not enough to beat a team with a better record, but enough to beat a team with the same record. You should be out of contention without that, unless you still have a better record.

Meaning: Alabama at 11-1, should be behind all undefeated champs, and all 1 loss champs.
Penn State, had they beat Minnesota but lost to Ohio St (and thus go 11-1 like Alabama), probably behind Alabama in that call.
1 loss teams from conference tttle games- LSU, Ohio State fit into this somewhere, if they lose only in conference games.

Wildcard- Alabama is currently a national treasure, and there is and will be a lot of politicking.
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