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Started By
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2
Posted on 11/2/19 at 10:27 pm to beaverfever
Can someone tell me why they went for 2?
Huge spread implications
Huge spread implications
Posted on 11/2/19 at 10:35 pm to beaverfever
I'm very impressed with Sonny Dykes, he's the first coach I've ever seen actually do the go for 2 when down 14 thing beyond the high school level.
Its mathematically far superior than kicking the PAT.
If you make it you're down 6 and in position to win the game instead of tie
If you miss it you're down 8 and you still have the opportunity to tie if you get the next 2.
If you run the conditional probabilities you win the game more often by the 2 point strategy.
The goal is to win the game, not force overtime. Forcing OT is a loss as often as a win and playing to force overtime strategy is playing to lose 50% of the time.
Its mathematically far superior than kicking the PAT.
quote:
Can someone tell me why they went for 2?
If you make it you're down 6 and in position to win the game instead of tie
If you miss it you're down 8 and you still have the opportunity to tie if you get the next 2.
If you run the conditional probabilities you win the game more often by the 2 point strategy.
The goal is to win the game, not force overtime. Forcing OT is a loss as often as a win and playing to force overtime strategy is playing to lose 50% of the time.
This post was edited on 11/2/19 at 10:41 pm
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