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re: CFB Betting Thread: W6

Posted on 10/3/19 at 3:17 pm to
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 10/3/19 at 3:17 pm to
I have my own analytics model that I tweak constantly. Looks at about 20 metrics.

Has Temple winning by 16ish.

It isn't that great at predicting actual scores, but decent for scoring margin and serves its purpose for comparing teams side-by-side in specific categories like YPP for each off vs def, PPG for each off vs. def, 3rd down % for each off v. defense, and Red Zone % for each off v. def.

ECU's offense is not going to do well. Temple's offense won't break records, but it has a much easier path to success.

End of the day, it's just fun to play with the numbers and there is still luck, as everyone knows.
This post was edited on 10/3/19 at 3:18 pm
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