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re: Tropical Storm Karen - Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:01 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:01 pm to
NHC sticks with a slow strengthening once this gets north of the Islands, which goes against the latest Euro/GFS runs. A stronger system will better be able to fend off shear induced by the ridge to the north as the system makes the westward turn.

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120795 posts
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:11 pm to
But NHC overestimates to scare us. Thats what Rant geniuses say anyway
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141646 posts
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

NHC sticks with a slow strengthening once this gets north of the Islands, which goes against the latest Euro/GFS runs. A stronger system will better be able to fend off shear induced by the ridge to the north as the system makes the westward turn.

Levi put up a video tonight that made an interesting point

if Karen ends up a bit further west when the ridge builds in... it may be in a spot where the shear is less and the atmosphere more conducive to strengthening
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
27622 posts
Posted on 9/24/19 at 1:59 am to
Only this a-hole in Livingston parish can make a storm then 90 degrees... We're all screwed.
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