re: I still do not think any of the current democrat candidates will be the nominee

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How can you say a "brokered convention" right now?

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No guarantees, but here's the reasoning. This is not just mine; others are predicting a brokered convention.

At present, there are 20 super egos vying for the dem nomination. 9 of these have enough support to have already qualified for the next round of debates.

Couple this with every state wanting to hold their primaries earlier and earlier, so the primary election will not have been decided before they vote.

I'm not alone in expecting several of these super egos will end up at the convention with a substantial percentage of the delegates sworn to them on the first ballot.

Given the above, you still have some very valid points. Have an up-vote for now, and we'll see how things go.