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re: H. Ross Perot Dead At 89
Posted on 7/9/19 at 10:23 am to CU_Tigers4life
Posted on 7/9/19 at 10:23 am to CU_Tigers4life
quote:
Look at RollTidePA's breakdown a few comments up from here and explain....
He doesn’t seem to understand percentages and relative mathematical data.
Bush would have needed a minimum of 79% of the votes Perot received nationally to take the election, and that’s assuming an ideal distribution across the right states. No estimate for the Perot vote redistribution has ever been higher than about 65/35 for Bush, and in reality probably around 15-20% of those who voted for Perot wouldn’t have voted for either Bush or Clinton.
Posted on 7/9/19 at 10:57 am to Roger Klarvin
quote:
He doesn’t seem to understand percentages and relative mathematical data.
Bush would have needed a minimum of 79% of the votes Perot received nationally to take the election, and that’s assuming an ideal distribution across the right states. No estimate for the Perot vote redistribution has ever been higher than about 65/35 for Bush, and in reality probably around 15-20% of those who voted for Perot wouldn’t have voted for either Bush or Clinton.
Oh, for sure I am no mathematician. Who knows how the votes would have broken; or if Perot voters were giving a nice F-you vote and would have stayed at home. The only point that I was trying to make is that looking at the raw numbers there is no denying that Perot had a distinct impact on the race and it affected Bush much more than Clinton. I think the toll it took on the campaign trail was especially bad for Bush. Bush had to spend a lot of time working to not have his vote split by Perot, that wasn't something that Clinton had to worry about as much. Two choices on the right and one on the left is a dumbed down way of putting it.
To your other point about the difference between daddy Bush and Clinton, it was really negligible. Clinton dabbled in gun control and it absolutely killed him. I don't know if Bush would have gone there, but that was about it.
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