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re: Here’s the deal with LSU Baseball and Injuries

Posted on 4/26/19 at 9:18 am to
Posted by BigEdLSU
All around the south
Member since Sep 2010
20268 posts
Posted on 4/26/19 at 9:18 am to
quote:

list all the previous years we have this issue.


so you believe this year is bad luck. can you support your opinion with some factual anaylsis proving luck to be real.

TIA
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19454 posts
Posted on 4/26/19 at 9:29 am to
It’s overlapping probability. Since you dropped out of school you probably don’t know how this works. Let’s say pitchers get injured on average 1 time per 2000 pitches. That is an estimate that gets more accurate the higher your sample size (number of pitches). The law of averages states that sometime in future samples of an event, the ground will be made up on past deviations from an event. The problem is not that the pitchers got injured. That is completely normal. The problem is they all got injured at the same time, which means that probablitliy caught up to people. Luck does not equal probability
This post was edited on 4/26/19 at 9:38 am
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