re: predict how MSU will lose to duke in final seconds

Mich St does have the edge in experience, for what little that seems to matter these days.

But to answer your main question: Duke is behind by 2 points with 2.5 seconds left. They inbound the ball to a player who catches it just shy of midcourt. He launches a long desperation shot toward the basket, which hangs on the rim and then magically goes in.