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re: IBM introducing the World's Highest-Resolution Global Weather Forecasting Model
Posted on 1/9/19 at 11:16 am to hob
Posted on 1/9/19 at 11:16 am to hob
quote:
The kicker is that you don't need huge computers to do the modeling. Once the training is complete the forecast run in 1/10 of the time.
On what data? That's the problem you seemed to have glossed over and why physics-based modeling is never going away. It's not the physics and our ability to accurately model the phenomena, it's obtaining and processing the vast amounts of data. It's a granularity problem, like modeling solid objects in CAE software, the size of the mesh determines the precision of the output, but using a finer mesh requires an exponential increase in the number of equations that need to be solved. Machine learning isn't going to solve what is fundamentally a hardware problem.
Posted on 1/9/19 at 11:33 am to Clames
quote:
On what data? That's the problem you seemed to have glossed over and why physics-based modeling is never going away. It's not the physics and our ability to accurately model the phenomena, it's obtaining and processing the vast amounts of data. It's a granularity problem, like modeling solid objects in CAE software, the size of the mesh determines the precision of the output, but using a finer mesh requires an exponential increase in the number of equations that need to be solved. Machine learning isn't going to solve what is fundamentally a hardware problem.
Yes and no. Software right now is what is helping to move Infrastructue (server and storage) technology capabilities forward despite the diminishing returns/ending of Moore’s law. Go look at IBM technology...hell, look at what Intel/AMD/NVidia is having to manipulate for their gains. It’s software and GPU’s that are driving AI/ML/DL and and it’s why infrastructure technology matters.
However, you’re right in that current classical based High Performance Computing (HPC and GPU) + AI/ML and Current SW Dev have their limitations (which we’re still not hitting - yet) . That is until quantum computing is unleashed in scale to the market ...which is 3-5 years away from being commercially available to all enterprise companies outside of just a handful that are in private bleeding edge partnerships with the few (less than three) tech companies who actually have Quantum h/w up and going today.
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