re: I am going into Tuesday night with the expectation that the dems will win the house

quote:

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over the last 100 years, the average seat loss by the party in power has been 30. Some even “great” presidents such as FDR saw 70(!) seats gone.

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What happens to those numbers when you remove the WAVE elections? What do those numbers drop to when there is an economic boom election?

Because as a guy who follows this stuff way more than I should, when you move behind the chattering class clichés and factor in a booming economy, you realize that those numbers decrease SIGNIFICANTLY when Americans are prospering. When the job market is this good and wages are increasing that 30 seat average goes out the door. Since 1950 we have been in this spot four times and in each case the party in power held on by a comfortable margin.

In short, the economy is booming and the Democrats will be bitterly disappointed on Tuesday night.