re: Retroactively predict the CFB playoff participants each year since 2000 and the results

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If Auburn has beat LSU or Clemson but still lost to UGA in the SECCG, Auburn would have been out How in the Hell do you know?

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Because they would have had 2 losses and lost the CCG. Technically I don’t “know” we can’t “know” but there are no examples of P5 teams with more loses getting into the playoffs over P5 teams with fewer losses in the limited sample size we have. I see no reason what so ever to think the playoffs last year would have been different if Auburn had finished 11-2 losing to UGA in the SECCG than it was with them going 10-3.

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Not even close to the same scenario as UGA.Not only did PSU get killed by Michigan they also lost to an average Pitt squad...funny how you left that off To compare the 2 loss PSU in '16 to the 2 loss UGA in '12 is disingenuous at best.

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You’re right it’s not the same scenario because unlike 2012 UGA 2016 Penn St WON their conference title game. Penn St has a much better case to have been in the 2016 playoffs than 2012 UGA would have

Their loss to Michigan is on par with 12 UGA loss to USCe. The Pitt loss really isn’t relevant to this discussion I wasn’t forgetting it any more than I didn’t mention they won their conference and had more top 10 wins 2 than 2012 UGA 1. Those trump an week 2, 3 point loss to a so so team that also beat the eventual National Champions.

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Not "real world" and a complete stretch on your part.

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How is not real world? In 2016 the playoff committee DID IN FACT pick Ohio St for the play. They did that DESPITE THE FACT that Ohio State lost to 11-2 Penn St. To further the comparison the thing that got tOSU in was their schedule, notably their 3 top 10 wins. 2012 Florida also has 3 top 10 wins (using final BCS standings) and 4 top 12 with FSU.

You are trying to make everything literal but you are too blinded by Red and Black glasses to be objective. The situations are not exact. No 2 season will be the same but there are obvious similarities to compare 12 UF-UGA and 16 tOSU-PSU whether you admit it or not and sorry to but all a available evidence should lead any rational objective observer to realize in 2012 Florida would have had a better chance at a 4 team playoff than UGA.

ETA looking at Florida’s schedule and 4 top 12 wins I’m thinking they actually may have made it over Oregon or KSU. There is no way 2 loss UGA gets in, sorry