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re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland

Posted on 5/17/18 at 10:06 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 5/17/18 at 10:06 am to
Luckily, models show little skill beyond 7 days for individual systems. That FV3-GFS run would be over 2 feet of rain for much of S. Louisiana.
Posted by whodatdude
Member since Feb 2011
1375 posts
Posted on 5/17/18 at 10:46 am to
Since you know more about this stuff than pretty much everyone, how much confidence is there in the FV3 model (excluding long term)?

I know it's supposed to be the next big thing and eventually replace GFS, but how accurate has it's initial runs been? I don't put a ton of stock into anything long-term, but it definitely raises an eyebrow to see a run like that.
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12008 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 7:14 pm to
sTS Alberto was forecasted to be at latitude 20.5 N by 00z/26th. Right now at 7 pm CDT (00z), it is behind schedule at 19.2 N

A distance lag of about 80nm.
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