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Tired "beat Bama first" narrative to win in recruiting

Posted on 5/6/18 at 1:53 am
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 1:53 am
Disclaimer: We could have beaten Bama much more the last 10 years with better coaching as we have had comparable talent except QB and maybe trenches on both sides (I'm in the loved Miles - but it was time for him to go, but not for Coach O Club)

In response to another thread...

Im tired of hearing that. Will Wade didn't win one single game before flipping nearly the entire roster in the off season well before he coached a game.

Recruiting comes first, new coaches almost always have an initial great class based on the idea of change/hope. Real savages chase challenges and embrace going against the grain - they would rather be the dream team that turns the "tide" and initiates a winning culture rather than just maintain it and be expected to win championships.

Who is more well known to their prospective fans - Bama's 5th championship squad or UCF's undefeated team?

Sure Bama fans love their championship team, but its just one of many and almost expected at this point. They will fade away and be known as just one of many championship squads. Its the path of least resistance for a lot of those players. Meanwhile, UCF likely had its first undefeated season ever - much more of an accomplishment, surprise, and those players are likely gods there and will be remembered forever.

You recruit first, then win some games you shouldnt win, and turn the corner. Look at Kirby Smart, he recruited at a high level before he started winning big (though Richt left the cupboard well stocked). Georgia went 8-5 his first season, then 12-2. He signed the number 3 overall class his first year coaching on his 8-5 record.

This misconception needs to stop. Saban isnt an elite coach without his super successful recruiting. There isnt a team he plays that has more talent than him, so in theory he should never lose. People are hung up on the results, but the largest part, by far, is the recruiting piece and there are countless examples where teams recruit well first, then win...

Lock Saban out of Louisiana first, and recruit Texas/Georgia/Florida/Tennessee/South Carolina/Mississippi at an elite level and you will undoubtedly compete fairly and evenly with Bama/Clemson/Ohio State/Penn State.

Well maybe not Coach O (though Id love for him to prove me wrong), but you get my point

TL;DR: Coaches win by changing the culture, energizing the fan base, and flipping rosters, then winning games as upsets - thus refeeding the recruiting beast. Recruit well, win more, use the marquee wins as ammo on the trail the next year. Rinse, repeat!

Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 2:00 am to
I make this point because most of the Louisiana kids that chose Bama play games, and they use the compete for championships line as an excuse. Some kids just wanna get out of state, but dont act like there arent plenty of examples that Saban out flanks us with bag men (he was getting players from Louisiana while we were playing for championships).

We either need to find a way to cut the heads off the bag men, or beat him at his own game on the low.

Im looking at you Sam Petito (Amite kids), eye doctor/lawyer/whoever (Monroe area). Wish we had some OT ballers with connections that could flush these guys out mafia style on some unrelated Rico charges or some shite.

Posted by Aussietigerfan
Sydney, Australia
Member since May 2015
2563 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 3:23 am to
Every team loses top in state recruits, It's not hard to understand some kids just want to get out. Even Kirby is struggling to lock up Georgia. However, talent has never been the issue. Miles frequently held top 5 classes. The problem is talent can only win you so many games, the rest comes down to coaching..
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 3:41 am to
quote:

Every team loses top in state recruits, It's not hard to understand some kids just want to get out. Even Kirby is struggling to lock up Georgia. However, talent has never been the issue. Miles frequently held top 5 classes. The problem is talent can only win you so many games, the rest comes down to coaching..


Agreed completely.

I actually made all those point in my OP. Coaching is absolutely vital, and youre correct about talent not being the issue, except maybe QB and OL really. The point I was making is that people think we are losing instate recruits to Saban because we havent beat them in awhile.

True warriors and leaders dont just go to Bama cause LSU is on a losing streak; that isnt why instate kids go to Bama. Some just want out of state, but many of the others go looking for a handout. In other words, this myth that most or all of the kids we lose to Bama isnt because we have lost to them recently. A still relatively new Coach like Coach O, should be able to sell them on restoring order, and being the class/group/team that finally gets us over the hump and beats them.

Id say less than 5 percent of recruits we have lost to Bama picked them in a dead even race - the kicker simply being just because they have beat us 7 in a row. If that is indeed the only reason, those few are weak groupies looking for the path of least resistance.

Mostly, we need to cut off the heads of the bag men, or beat him at his own game.
This post was edited on 5/6/18 at 3:45 am
Posted by bass
Member since Oct 2016
4667 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 8:45 am to
Last year was the only year they had slightly better talent. They made up the gap the previous years by making fewer mistakes. The emphasis needs to be on outworking everyone and a bama win will come in time.
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
18982 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 9:14 am to
For the most part I agree with you BillyBob

Couple of bullet points to add:
- did Saban have to beat AU/UF at LSU first to improve recruiting? No

- "fences" work both ways. By that I mean locking down a state means two things: 1) you've made a concisous decision to move resouces from one area (e.g. TX) to your state, and 2) by definition you may be passing up a better talent OOS just to do that (e.g. Hootie vs Adams)

- Yeah, head-2-head affects some recruits. Very few however. In the list of significance it's #4 or below. I mention this because in anything, including recruting strategy, you must objectively identify strengths/weaknesses to improve. I hear the word "excuses" tossed around all the time here. To say, if you are on LSU's staff, "well, we lost to Bama last year so we can't expect recruiting to improve this year" is indeed an excuse, a self-excuse. You don't do like Hillary and blame everything BUT being a horrible campaigner with a staff that assumed certain states would never go to Trump and then make excuses of why they did. You identify your weaknesses so you can fix it.

- What the eye doctor (named him here a long time ago LINK LINK) is different from your typical bagmen, like Amite (which is more likely just an "influencer"). I mention this because to combat each takes different tactics. Bateman is more of a "setup man" for Saban where if Saban wants an event (e.g. Awards Dinner) to meet with HS coaches in the area, he will help/partially organize and sponsor it. Eye Doctor's ties lie in the fact he is a huge sponsor of HS sports and well connected and can bridge Saban to the general community. Someone like the Barber directly talks to and influences recruits (and their guardians). I don't know about him directly, not an area I'm familiar with so I'm using him as an example. I've heard he even arranges for rides to camps (which is sketchy if he only does it for one school due to NCAA rules, IF they were ever applied).

The Eye Doctor is both easily combated but at the same time it's difficult to combat. All you do is exactly the same thing but better or more voluminous. An example is if Saban speaks at a Rotary Club meeting in W Monroe, you speak at one in Monroe, AND one in Shreveport. The principle is easy, the effectiveness might take time.

To combat someone like Amite bagmen, I'd say simply start "exit interviewing" recruits, and report his arse as a Bama "affiliate", hence Booster (NCAA definition of "booster" is insane). The idea of "we're not rats" or "it's more honorable to not report" is fricking bullshite. Saban set us up with the early FA agreements with Womack (tried with Hootie), Meyer reports people all the time (so does Mullen). It's a dirty business recruiting- so get dirty, treat it like a business, and use all the tools at your disposal.

- Saban beating us head-2-head in the trenches is the only area where we are consistently, repeatedly, and significantly losing the arms race. We've found replacements that do just fine in the grand scheme of things when we do lose someone (not counting the lack of plan B last year with Surtain)... except OL/DL. 4-5 positions that must function as a squad; losing one or two a every other year, replacing that loss with a "project", and over time it will have cumulative effect that is costing us multiple games. And not just Bama, I'd point to losses to AU, OM, and MSST too. For several years, MSST was more talented in the trenches (especially DL) than we were; we've caught up, but that's a good example.
This post was edited on 5/6/18 at 9:56 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51826 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 10:05 am to
There is a lot of truth in your post. I expect it to be severly downvoted on here
Posted by CletusJones
Metairie
Member since Jan 2014
11 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 10:11 am to
Those coaches that aren't afraid to report on other programs may not have any dirt to have thrown back in their direction. Makes me wonder why some will and some won't report the shady activity of other programs. Especially if you're hanging by a thread to keep you dream job.
Posted by Brunedog
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2014
6521 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 10:20 am to
As far as right now bama is killing it on the trail. I don’t know what Saban is selling but they are on fire
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 10:20 am to
quote:

I20goon


Great post with really in-depth addition to discussion. I enjoyed reading it, and appreciate the intellectual response. I dont see anything you said that contradicts my OP, but my messages were lengthy - I agree with everything you said.

Incredible insight, and thoughtful reply.

Thanks man

quote:

Penrod


As for the truth, pioneers take the arrows and the settlers take the land. Hearing the hard truth for a lot of people for the first time is hard to swallow, but once enough people accept the truth, people who are on the fence tend to accept it easier - though a complicated truth is always rejected more frequently than a simple lie.

Thanks for the support brotha

quote:

CletusJones


I have a feeling in Sabans shadow staff, they use/threaten underlings/salt explayers/dirt on power players at other schools to feed them information from other schools. There are other tactics politicians use for their benefit - Saban is a worse coach than people give him credit for, and a better political strategist - a la Hugh Freeze who was beating him consistently, and then suddenly a scandal was afoot and his name was dragged through the mud, and thus fired.

Most programs dont report because every program has some shady practices though to varying degrees, and they are afraid of retribution. However, just like in politics, if you grease the right wheels, the machine keeps running regardless of safety issues/malpractices. Some people get pulled over and get a warning, others do not pass go/do not collect $200 just go straight to jail.
This post was edited on 5/6/18 at 10:25 am
Posted by Blanky6715
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2014
4378 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Who is more well known to their prospective fans - Bama's 5th championship squad or UCF's undefeated team? 

Sure Bama fans love their championship team, but its just one of many and almost expected at this point. They will fade away and be known as just one of many championship squads. Its the path of least resistance for a lot of those players. Meanwhile, UCF likely had its first undefeated season ever - much more of an accomplishment, surprise, and those players are likely gods there and will be remembered forever. 


I'm sorry but winning a championship is the highest possible level you can reach in college football. Going undefeated is nice but if you dont get the ultimate goal which is being a national champion, it is not as impressive. The old Miami Hurricane teams dont lose any fame because multiple teams were dominant in a period of time, just the opposite they are remembered as a dynasty.
Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
26418 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 12:36 pm to
I'm sure former governor Edwin Edwards has some contacts that can arrange something.
Posted by OU812
Michigan
Member since Apr 2004
13537 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 12:52 pm to
Why would Brian Bateman's dad be a bagman for Bama, when Brian played golf for LSU?
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33875 posts
Posted on 5/6/18 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Will Wade didn't win one single game before flipping nearly the entire roster in the off season well before he coached a game.


Because he's a great coach. He didn't come in with some great recruiting class. He took what he had and maximized it.

Do you think Orgeron did that, or is doing that? What is it that he can sell to get a great class? Wade sold his coaching ability, which was reflected by his success prior to LSU. What does Orgeron sell?

quote:


Saban isnt an elite coach without his super successful recruiting


Let's put aside the fact that recruiting is part of being an elite coach, who do you think is elite if Saban isn't? He went to the NFL and turned the Browns into one of the best defenses in the country, then turned MSU, LSU and Bama around all in short order.

This time of comment is why we ended up with O in the first place. Hiring O because he recruited well under others is trying to shortcut our way to results.
This post was edited on 5/6/18 at 1:13 pm
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
18982 posts
Posted on 5/7/18 at 4:10 am to
quote:

Why would Brian Bateman's dad be a bagman for Bama, when Brian played golf for LSU?
Want to clarify: I specifically have stated Dr. Bateman isn't a bagman. More of a local sports supporter and community organizer/sponsor. He has more to do with local coaches and schools than with parents and recruits. Nothing he does is illegal (codified or NCAA).

But where Brian went to school (during Dinardo era) doesn't affect what he does. Saban, during his time at LSU, chose to use him as a tool and ally in the area. He still does.

No local group, or coach, is going to NOT want to have Saban speak, visit, or give autographs. On any subject.

I wanted to give a real life example and looked for it briefly (i.e. not too hard) but couldn't find it so I'm going to go off memory. I think it was in 2014 the the Monroe News Star had an article about Saban speaking on "leadership qualities" at a local Kiwanis Club (or Rotary? Chamber of Commerce?) at which local HS coaches were invited to attend for free, paid tickets for local businessmen. Dr. Bateman did some of the advertising and was one of the business that rented the venue; local restaurants catered it for free. But it was Bateman that arranged for Saban to be the speaker.

Just because his son went to LSU doesn't mean he would disavow his long time contact in Saban, or not do the same local sports/community support activities.

The sad thing is, he'd probably do the same for Orgeron (or Miles) but they aren't "in his network", i.e. they probably never ask. His connection is a personal one; Saban continues to nurture that connection. They both benefit.

ETA: in all, it's not that different than the network Burton Burns has in the NOLA area. The difference being Burns' network resulted from being from the area, Saban's network resulted from one he built, as an outsider, during his time at LSU. Both continue to use their networks from Tuscaloosa. Dr. Bateman is no different than one of Burns' friends in NOLA, just in Monroe.
This post was edited on 5/7/18 at 4:18 am
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/7/18 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

Because he's a great coach. He didn't come in with some great recruiting class. He took what he had and maximized it.

Do you think Orgeron did that, or is doing that? What is it that he can sell to get a great class? Wade sold his coaching ability, which was reflected by his success prior to LSU. What does Orgeron sell?



I dont think Coach O is doing that. You clearly read half of my posts, and got emotional and started responding. I am not defending Coach O here, I am simple stating that Louisiana kids arent leaving just cause Bama beats us. Recruiting can be done at a high level based on the premise of change/hope, energizing the fan base/boosters, and then by winning big game comparable to the recent past - rinsing and repeating.

quote:

Let's put aside the fact that recruiting is part of being an elite coach, who do you think is elite if Saban isn't? He went to the NFL and turned the Browns into one of the best defenses in the country, then turned MSU, LSU and Bama around all in short order.

This time of comment is why we ended up with O in the first place. Hiring O because he recruited well under others is trying to shortcut our way to results.


Dont forget that Saban is a petite man. I dont think he enjoys the rough stroke, so you might wanna loosen your grip around his dick man.

Saban turned it around in large part due to his obsessive nature, attention to detail, political savy, and his relentless recruiting. As for a game day coach, he is above average - I find it comical you left out his Miami days which just prove that when the playing field is even and he doesnt have a huge advantage in talent, his coaching is above average at best.

That isnt mutually exclusive from being elite. As a head coach, it is most important to build continuity, create a winning culture, recruit at a high level, get the boards/boosters/decision makers by the balls, be extremely detail oriented, a visionary, and highly politically savvy.
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
130366 posts
Posted on 5/7/18 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

- I find it comical you left out his Miami days which just prove that when the playing field is even and he doesnt have a huge advantage in talent, his coaching is above average at best.

Considering the number of college coaches that took HC jobs in the NFL and were not successful, this is a horrible argument against Saban.
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/7/18 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Considering the number of college coaches that took HC jobs in the NFL and were not successful, this is a horrible argument against Saban.


No, it isnt. The NFL is for the most elite coaches - college teams can win by having more talent. It is much easier to create disparity in talent at the college level vs. the NFL. The talent level is much more negligible at the pro level which is exactly why being an elite coach is paramount. Hence, Saban and other failed college coaches arent as talented at coaching as they are with recruiting/program building.

Your argument is not just illogical and erroneous, but counter-intuitive all together...
This post was edited on 5/7/18 at 1:10 pm
Posted by MCTIGER44
McLendon-Chisholm
Member since Jan 2018
58 posts
Posted on 5/7/18 at 2:14 pm to
This is good stuff all the way down BillyBobBlitzkrieg

Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 5/7/18 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

This is good stuff all the way down BillyBobBlitzkrieg


Thanks brudda!

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