re: Wild West Playoffs Thread 04/28 - NOP @ GSW - Game 1 - 04/28 9:30 ET on TNT #StillFlockin

quote:

---

For this projection, I assumed Curry would miss Game 1 and then play the rest of the series on a slight minutes restriction with a decrease in production leading the Warriors to have a 74 percent chance to win the series. In simulations where Curry played every game at his full healthy level, the Warriors won the series 81 percent of the time. I repeated the simulation excluding Curry entirely from the series, and the Warriors won just 52 percent of the time, demonstrating the effect this unknown has on the overall outlook of the series. The most likely outcome is Warriors winning in five games (23 percent), but there is a high likelihood that the series extends to six or seven (56.8 percent). Expect the Warriors to win and move on, but be ready for the Pelicans to surprise us.

---