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re: Wild West Playoffs Thread 04/28 - NOP @ GSW - Game 1 - 04/28 9:30 ET on TNT #StillFlockin

Posted on 4/25/18 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by The_Duke
Member since Nov 2016
3710 posts
Posted on 4/25/18 at 1:31 pm to
I want normal fade Jrue
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/25/18 at 2:00 pm to
this is concerning

Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6111 posts
Posted on 4/25/18 at 2:03 pm to
Post-season True Shooting vs Regular Season True Shooting for the Pels

Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6111 posts
Posted on 4/25/18 at 2:04 pm to
im good if it aint cornrows or fish braids
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/25/18 at 7:26 pm to
I cannot wait for this UTA/OKC bludgeoning.
rustle may have an aneurysm right out on the court
Posted by touchdownjeebus
Member since Sep 2010
25033 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 1:17 am to
Rustle statbook player his arse off today. I wanna see PG in a Pels uniform. He is the piece that topples the West.
Posted by MrPel
Member since Dec 2014
2342 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 1:27 am to
We aren’t getting a Wing this offseason. Hopefully cousins takes just a minor pay cut so we can re sign rondo.

Then our next move needs to be dumping Ajinca and a future first. Might have to attach moore. Hopefully Hill steps up and then we can somehow attach him instead.

Need to keep this exact roster (including cousins) to start the 18-19 season.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 10:15 am to
updated playoff odds based on 10,000 simulations



pels open +7.5 @ GSW in game 1, total 222.5

538 has the prelim series odds at 60/40 GSW, with GSW 68% to win game 1 at -4.5
This post was edited on 4/26/18 at 10:17 am
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9985 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

pels open +7.5 @ GSW in game 1, total 222.5

538 has the prelim series odds at 60/40 GSW, with GSW 68% to win game 1 at -4.5


Series Prices:
Pelicans +650
Warriors -1000

Not a lot of pelievers in Vegas.
This post was edited on 4/26/18 at 12:32 pm
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 12:33 pm to
its the right betting call, there's no arguing with that.
heres all playoff teams in TPA thru last night



GSW is playing at a very high level despite losing the one game to SAS.
a price of -1000 implies roughly 87% odds
This post was edited on 4/26/18 at 12:40 pm
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 12:41 pm to
however:

quote:

Breaking news in New Orleans: @threekola Mirotic tells me he’s inking an official deal with Gillette
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 12:54 pm to
Dat Solo ts%
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 3:18 pm to
jaylen brown inches ahead of niko in playoffs on/off NetRTG

Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 3:31 pm to
they gone

Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6111 posts
Posted on 4/26/18 at 3:43 pm to
I love that sweatshirt Solo has on but I aint paying 70 bones


also love that FJ is always around. hoping he surprises us next season with his progression
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/27/18 at 11:27 am to
john schuhmann goes behind the numbers for this series.
too much to quote, read it

LINK
This post was edited on 4/27/18 at 11:29 am
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/27/18 at 11:31 am to
win probabilities, nylon calculus

LINK

quote:

For this projection, I assumed Curry would miss Game 1 and then play the rest of the series on a slight minutes restriction with a decrease in production leading the Warriors to have a 74 percent chance to win the series. In simulations where Curry played every game at his full healthy level, the Warriors won the series 81 percent of the time. I repeated the simulation excluding Curry entirely from the series, and the Warriors won just 52 percent of the time, demonstrating the effect this unknown has on the overall outlook of the series. The most likely outcome is Warriors winning in five games (23 percent), but there is a high likelihood that the series extends to six or seven (56.8 percent). Expect the Warriors to win and move on, but be ready for the Pelicans to surprise us.


Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/27/18 at 11:34 am to
offensive style matchup



pels has slightly better shot selection, GSW slightly better player movement, identical ball movement and pace
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40774 posts
Posted on 4/27/18 at 2:25 pm to
practice at oracle
Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6111 posts
Posted on 4/28/18 at 8:10 pm to
#TheFlappening Part II

quote:

Alvin Gentry says Pelicans practiced this week as if Stephen Curry was playing tonight but have an idea how they want to play w/him out


quote:

In his first two career playoff series, Anthony Davis averaged over 30 points on .500 shooting from the field, becoming the second player in #NBA postseason history to do so, and the first since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1970). #DoItBigger


quote:

At 2 p.m. the Warriors were -9 favorites against the Pelicans. That dropped to -8.5 just before Steve Kerr started his press conference. After the announcement that Curry isn’t going to play it’s at -8.
This post was edited on 4/28/18 at 8:12 pm
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