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re: I'm actually more confident after last night

Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20573 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Would like to see a breakdown: how many teams who won game 1, won in game 3; how many swept; how many teams took 2 & 3.

My uneducated guess is that the sweeps and the 2-3 winners are the two highest.

Ok, I looked:

Since it went to a 3 game series, there have been 14 champs.

There have been 7 sweeps; the other 7 years it has gone 3 games.

Teams that won games 2 & 3 have won 4 times, teams that won games 1 and 3 have won 3 times.

So:
Teams that win Game 1 have won 10 out of 14 series,
but
Teams that win Game 2 have won 11 out of 14.

Teams that won Game 1, but lose Game 2, have won 3 out of 14.

Key game is tonight.

edit- you posted already
This post was edited on 6/27/17 at 12:08 pm
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20573 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:18 pm to
Thanks to everybody!

So ESPN is just posting random percentages to amuse the audience; you HAVE to watch, because each game is the key game

I think Game 1 matters if it's undefeated Oregon St going against, say, Texas A&M... that series is a probable sweep. OSU in 2.

When we get evenly matched teams, sweeps likely don't occur (although sometimes, like South Carolina- they went extra innings a game in both years they won).
When it goes beyond a sweep, it's basically a tossup, with the edge going to the first game loser.

I imagine emotions and confidence coming out of game 2 (we staved off elimination vs now we don't have slack) plays some factor.

Wouldn't be surprised at all, if you dig through the games, if the Game 3 winners had similar pitching rotations as LSU- had to wait til game 2, to get back to the heart of the staff.
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