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re: The mass freakout over Bret Stephen's climate change article on NYT
Posted on 5/3/17 at 4:16 am to bonhoeffer45
Posted on 5/3/17 at 4:16 am to bonhoeffer45
quote:
Is it possible that the real results will be outside that range? Yes, and the consensus acknowledges that as well.
Actually the consensus doesn't. You see, even the absolute best case predictions peddled by your consensus is still several times higher than what has actually occurred in the last nearly 40 years alone and those best case estimates are way lower than their median predictions. This all goes back to flawed models, flawed data analysis fed into those models, and the fact that current raw computational power is not even close to what it needs to be to make even reliable short-term trend predictions. Your consensus recently released a paper that showed the modeled trends are showing warming that is almost double what is actually being observed. This is the point you fail to understand here, you are asking for actions to be taken based on predictions made by those who are staking the continued flow millions of dollars of research funding on pushing trends predicted by computer models that are nowhere close to reality...
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