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re: "13 " 3 and 2 stars drafted in first round last night per Rivals....

Posted on 4/28/17 at 4:14 pm to
Posted by MLCLyons
Member since Nov 2012
4710 posts
Posted on 4/28/17 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

That's actually an argument to the value of 5s. Youre just not seeing it.


Yeah I don't get how people thinks this proves stars are "overrated". There's a much, much larger pool of 2 and 3 stars so the % of them that get drafted is extremely low. There are very few 5* so the % of them drafted in the first is insanely high.

Edit: I just looked up the 2013 recruiting class on 247, those guys were Juniors last year, Seniors this year, (maybe some redshirt seniors still but I'm not sure). There were 32 5*, 9 of whom got drafted in the first round last year or this year. A 28% success rate when you look at how many high school prospects there are, is absolutely phenomenal.
This post was edited on 4/28/17 at 4:31 pm
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
11291 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:46 pm to
Only if you think of it in terms of randomness, They flunked out 30-33% of the time. If you worked with me, you'd be fired for hitting it right 28% of the time, bombing 33% of the time, and just doing OK the rest of the time. Those "elite" few should be better than the top 50% of the class. No way you can call those kids "5-star elites" and miss 72% of the time. Recruiting services are billing themselves as "experts", they are not saying this is just a Wild arse Guess!
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