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re: Georgia Sixth Congressional District Special Election

Posted on 4/18/17 at 11:39 pm to
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69406 posts
Posted on 4/18/17 at 11:39 pm to
So, with what is out, Ossof might end up getting less than 47% tonight, which isn't a complete polling miss, tbh.

The question is whether he can muster enough additional support to get an additional 2.5-3%.
Posted by bonhoeffer45
Member since Jul 2016
4367 posts
Posted on 4/18/17 at 11:46 pm to
quote:

So, with what is out, Ossof might end up getting less than 47% tonight, which isn't a complete polling miss, tbh.

The question is whether he can muster enough additional support to get an additional 2.5-3%.




Cohn did some napkin math and thinks 47.7% will be roughly the final tally with what areas are still missing.

I would just say that what you said also assumes that Handel can muster the ability to deliver the same number of Republicans to turn out for her that did in totality tonight.

Can Handel get another 50,000 people to show up to vote for her specifically? IDK.

Ossoff I think has to worry about keeping his side motivated. Which I don't necessarily trust Democrats to ever be. Would not necessarily shock me if Ossoff only gets 65,000 votes and Handel wins with 68,000 or something.



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