re: UK PM May invokes June election

quote:

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Sturgeon wants out of the UK; a contrary vote for that would all but silence her.

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I'm not sure what you mean by "a contrary vote" here. The Scots will still vote for Labour like they always do, and the Parliament will still be led by Conservatives.

[EDIT: If you mean the Labour vs. SNP vote in the Scottish voting districts, then I think I see your point.]

Sturgeon wants a repeat of the 2014 Scottish referendum sometime in 2018 or 2019, and the Conservative MPs in the UK government might try to block her, but if anything, a UK Parliament more dominated by Conservatives might push the Scottish public to demand separation even more.

I think there is a strong emotional pull to Scottish independence from their heavily socialist and pro-EU constituency, but I don't think it's enough to push them over 50%... especially when they meet the reality of how hard it will be to re-enter the EU and live without London's subsidies.

Spain, which has its own problems with potential breakaway regions, is going to block any attempt for Scotland to be welcomed into the EU... so it's an even worse situation for them now than it was in 2014.