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re: For those hoping Kansas would go Democrat tonight...
Posted on 4/12/17 at 11:07 am to skrayper
Posted on 4/12/17 at 11:07 am to skrayper
quote:
Moderate states are unlikely to keep Republicans in power in 2018.
It's hard to define a moderate state these days.
In 20 years there won't be any.
Dem strongholds:
- Northeast down through VA (except possibly NH)
- Entire west coast and southwest (except Utah)
- Illinois
Republicans strongholds:
- Midwest (except Illinois) and I'm including MN & PA
- South (from NC to LA)
- Oklahoma & Texas
- The plains/mountain states + Utah
The only state I see as a very long term moderate state is Florida because so many people come and go.
1
Posted on 4/12/17 at 11:42 am to TheXman
quote:
It's hard to define a moderate state these days.
Eh, "swing state" is more or less what I mean.
Ohio, Virginia, Florida. All big pop states that have gone differently in recent elections. Harder to predict.
No one wonders if Texas will go red or California will go blue. If all states were easily predictable, everyone would know who would win each election and it'd be the same party because demographics don't typically change that much on 2-4 year scales.
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